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Option 4 : If statement II is the cause, statement I could be its effect

  1. A bus reaching the school late cannot cause a major accident on the road. Therefore, option 1 is eliminated.
  2. It is not possible to establish a common event that can cause the delay of a school bus as well as a major road accident. - Therefore, option 2 is eliminated.
  3. A major road accident obstructing the traffic can cause the school bus to reach late in the school. Therefore, I and II cannot be independent causes. Therefore, option 3 is eliminated.

Hence, statement II is the cause and statement I could be its effect.

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